Thursday August
29, 2013
- The drums of war getting louder as the hawks in both
the United States, France and the United Kingdom press
for military action against the Assad regime over the
alleged use of chemical weapons even as the
UK
Parliament turns the volume a notch or two.
The drums of war have been
beating loudly, ever so stridently if stories being
peddled about on the media are to be believed. Earlier
in the week, statements attributed to US President
Barack Obama seemed to indicate that missiles should
have now been hitting selected targets in Syria as
British and French forces join another allied campaign
against a supposedly rogue regime headed by one Bashar
Hafez al-Assad.
UK Prime Minister hurriedly convened
Parliament from recess today, initially for the House of
Commons to vote on the government's decision to
authorise war. But this vote has been set aside for
another session of Parliament after a watered-down paper
was presented that was far from a vote on a declaration
of war. This climb down in rhetoric from the Prime
Minister came in the wake of statements by the Leader of
the main Labour Opposition that it would not be in a
position to give what it's leader
Ed Miliband a blank
cheque to the government to declare war on Syria. He
asked, among other items, that the government publishes
documents it had in its possession and distributed to
all MPs for an informed judgement.
He also asked that
compelling evidence be produced that would implicate the Assad government in the use of chemical weapons against
his own people. Mr Miliband also requested that the
government awaits the report of UN inspectors who are
currently in Damascus visiting areas where the chemicals
weapons were allegedly used and that this could help
convince Britons and the international community of the
need for a military intervention in Syria. Ed Miliband,
though
did not rule out support for the Prime Minister in
today's debate - "I do not rule out supporting the Prime
Minister but I believe he has to make a better case than
he did today on this question and frankly he cannot say
to the House and to the country this does not change our
stance on Syria, this does not change our involvement in
the Syrian conflict, because frankly it would and we all
have a duty to assess it.
The BBC reports
that overshadowing the passionate debate in the UK House
of Commons are previous UK interventions in the Middle
East especially Iraq where, according to one MP,
intelligence sources were not as reliable as paraded by
the Blair government then and even more importantly is
the kind of reaction that is being received from
constituents indicating they do not support the proposed
intervention in Syria. UK Prime Minister Cameron also
made public a document published today which is
headlined -
"Chemical weapon use by Syrian
regime: UK government legal position" in
which the government states in a part of the report -
The use of chemical
weapons by the Syrian regime is a serious crime of
international concern, as a breach of the customary
international law prohibition on use of chemical
weapons, and amounts to a war crime and a crime
against humanity. However, the legal basis for
military action would be humanitarian intervention;
the aim is to relieve humanitarian suffering by
deterring or disrupting the further use of chemical
weapons.
The UK is seeking a resolution of the
United Nations Security Council under Chapter VII of
the Charter of the United Nations which would
condemn the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian
authorities; demand that the Syrian authorities
strictly observe their obligations under
international law and previous Security Council
resolutions, including ceasing all use of chemical
weapons; and authorise member states, among other
things, to take all necessary measures to protect
civilians in Syria from the use of chemical weapons
and prevent any future use of Syria’s stockpile of
chemical weapons; and refer the situation in Syria
to the International Criminal Court.
If action in
the Security Council is blocked, the UK would still
be permitted under international law to take
exceptional measures in order to alleviate the scale
of the overwhelming humanitarian catastrophe in
Syria by deterring and disrupting the further use of
chemical weapons by the Syrian regime.
The Cameron government,
probably aware of the aftermath of the UK going to war
in Iraq has also published
a report from the Joint
Intelligence Committee which reveals that
the Assad regime had used lethal chemical weapons on 14
occasions from 2012.
Following the
widespread open source reports of chemical weapons (CW)
use in the suburbs of Damascus in the early hours of
21 August 2013, the JIC met on 25 August to agree an
assessment.
At a subsequent meeting on 27 August we
met again to review our level of confidence in the
assessment relating to the regime’s responsibility
for the attack. The JIC’s conclusions were agreed by
all Committee members.
The final paper informed the
National Security Council meeting on 28 August, at
which I provided further background and a summary of
the most recent reporting, analysis and challenge.
The paper’s key judgements, based on the information
and intelligence available to us as of 25 August,
are attached. It is important to put these JIC
judgements in context. We have assessed previously
that the Syrian regime used lethal CW on 14
occasions from 2012. This judgement was made with
the highest possible level of certainty following an
exhaustive review by the Joint Intelligence
Organisation of intelligence reports plus diplomatic
and open sources. We think that there have been
other attacks although we do not have the same
degree of confidence in the evidence. A clear
pattern of regime use has therefore been
established.
Meanwhile President
Obama has been coming under increasing pressure to have
a debate and a vote as is happening in the British House
of Commons as polls show that there's scepticism over
the US proposed decision to attack Syria. Tonight,
there's expected to a classified briefing to members of
Congress with reports that very soon the President would
be releasing documents that make a case for military
intervention in Syria. It is to be recalled that
President Obama has spoken on television that he had not
yet made a decision. While he ponders his action, the
world awaits.
Update: circa 9.15pm gmt - The
Ed Milliband amendment has just been defeated by 220
votes to 332. 9.32pm - The government motion on Syria
and the use of chemical weapons is defeated by 272 to
285.Prime Minister David Cameron has accepted that the
people of the UK represented in Parliament do not want
the country to be involved in war just now and has
promised to reflect this in any future government
action.
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